张新林：Identification of the driving factors' influences on regional energy-related carbon emissions in China based on geographical detector method

论文题目：Identification of the driving factors' influences on regional energy-related carbon emissions in China based on geographical detector method

论文作者：张新林

作者单位：地理测绘与城乡规划学院

发表刊物：《ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH》2018,Volume 25,Issue10,pp 9626–9635

刊物类别：SSCI

摘 要：

To investigate the influences of different factors on spatial heterogeneity of regional carbon emissions, we firstly studied the spatial-temporal dynamics of regional energy-related carbon emissions using global Moran’s I and Getis-Ord Gi and applied geographical detector model to explain the spatial heterogeneity of regional carbon emissions. Some conclusions were drawn. Regional carbon emissions showed significant global and local spatial autocorrelation. The carbon emissions were greater in eastern and northern regions than in western and southern regions. Fixed assets investment and economic output had been the main contributing factors over the study period, and economic output had been decreasing its influence. Industrial structure’s influence showed a decrease trend and became smaller in 2015. The results of the interaction detections in 2015 can be divided into two types: enhance and nonlinear, and enhance and bivariate. The interactive influences between technological level and fixed assets investment, economic output and technological level, population size and technological level, and economic output and economic development were greater than others. Some policy recommendations were proposed.